City trajectory · 2026 edition
What is changing in McKinney?
A city-level read on the people, prices, projects, and tradeoffs shaping where you might buy next.
Typical home value
$473K
3-mo median $474K
School rating
8.3 / 10
STAAR 2024-25
Commute to DTX
38 min
Estimated drive
Population
202,314
Historic downtown, rapid growth, room to run
The bottom line
The bottom line for McKinney
McKinney's "regional sovereign" thesis is no longer aspirational—it's executing. The airport terminal is 80% complete, interior walls are up, the aircraft apron is nearly finished, and Avelo Airlines is confirmed as the launch carrier with operations targeting pre-Thanksgiving 2026. Cannon Beach is under construction. The Northern Frontier—once just a housing frontier—is getting its first Kroger-anchored retail center (Custer Frontier Marketplace, 123K SF, broke ground February 2026) and a new Texas Health hospital (60 beds, opening 2028). CapRock Partners is building 250K SF of Class A industrial at the Air Business Park. McKinney is no longer pitching a vision of self-sufficiency—it's pouring concrete on it.
The only caveat: the housing market hasn't kept pace with the ambition. Most McKinney ZIPs are showing 7-9% YoY price declines with days on market stretching to 60-85 days. The infrastructure is arriving faster than the demand signal. This is a city building ahead of the curve—which is either visionary or premature depending on how 2027 shakes out.
02 · The full report
Follow the decision
03 · At a glance
The facts behind the read
Profile context · 2024 est.
Current read
Historic downtown, rapid growth, room to run
Population
202,314
2024 est.
Typical home value
$473K
3-mo median: $474K
School rating
8.3 / 10
STAAR 2024-25
Property tax rate
2.12%
2024-25
Median HH income
$120K
2023
Commute to DTX
38 min
est.
Median age
37 years
2023
Families with kids
42%
2023
Owner-occupied
78%
2023
Demographics
Sources: Census Bureau, Zillow Research, Realtor.com Research, GreatSchools, County Assessor, Google Maps, and Census ACS. Dates shown by field.
Stay current
Want to know when McKinney changes?
Get notified about approvals, groundbreakings, openings, and the next trajectory edition.
Get McKinney updates
News worth knowing, without the noise.
